How to Value PP1 Time
How to Value PP1 Time (Fantasy Hockey)
Use share, role, and team power-play quality to price fantasy upside — and recheck before puck drop.
Quick Take
- PP1 is the fastest way to raise a player's floor.
- Weight PP1 by three things: share (minutes), role (QB/flank/bumper/net-front), and team PP volume/quality.
- As a thumb rule, stable PP1 (≥70% share) on a top-10 unit can add ~10–15% to rest-of-season production.
Why PP1 Matters
Power plays concentrate shot volume, touches, and high-danger chances. PP1 skaters see repeatable deployment, boosting:
- Points/PPP (points & categories leagues)
- Shots/SOG (especially for flank/QB roles)
- Predictability (usage stabilizes vs. even strength)
The Three Inputs You Should Weigh
1) PP Share (how much they actually play)
Look for ≥70% of team PP time over the last 10–15 games for a stable signal. If share dips below ~50% or bounces between units, treat gains as streaming-only unless something changed (injury above them, coaching shift).
Do this: Check live Lineups & PP Units before lock.
2) Role on PP1 (what they do)
- QB (point/D) — primary distributor; high PPP floor; adds SOG if they shoot.
- Flank/Wing — one-timers & cross-seam looks; strong G/PPP upside.
- Bumper — goal-heavy when the system funnels there; streakier, lower SOG.
- Net-front — tips/rebounds; volatile game-to-game, steadier over time.
Rule of thumb: QB > Flank ≥ Net-front ≥ Bumper (system can shuffle this).
3) Team PP Volume & Quality
Opportunities: top-10 teams by PP chances give more reps. Conversion: elite units sustain high xG/60 and shot rate; weak units don't convert extra time into points.
Schedule matters: two-week stretches with more games and off-nights magnify PP1 value. Time adds/drops with schedule, then revisit PP1 weekly.
Quick Math: A Practical Way to "Price" PP1
- Start with the player's current points pace.
- Add +8–10% for stable PP1 (≥70% share).
- Add +2–4% for QB or primary flank role.
- Add +2–3% if team PP is top-10 over the last month.
- Subtract −3–5% if deployment looks unstable (coach shuffles, returns from injury).
Use this to rank streams and sanity-check trades; it's a heuristic, not a projection.
Start/Sit & Streaming Decisions
- Stream when: new PP1 assignment + 4+ games with ≥2 off-nights + QB/Flank role.
- Hold when: PP1 is stable and either the unit is surging or the player also holds a top-six EV role.
- Cut when: PP share < 50% for a week and the schedule worsens (fewer games, no off-nights).
Before lock, confirm deployment and matchup:
Trade Angle: Buying and Selling PP1
- Buy-low: early PP1 moves not yet in box scores.
- Sell-high: PP1 passengers on weak units or with shaky EV roles.
Run the deal before you accept: Trade Analyzer.
Red Flags (when PP1 doesn't deliver)
- Token PP1: tagged to the unit but plays limited seconds (watch share, not the label).
- System shift: scheme moves looks away from their seat (e.g., bumper-centric).
- Crowded return: stars return and PP1 minutes get rebalanced.
Stay on top of changes: News & Injuries.
FAQs
- How often should I re-evaluate PP1 value?
- Weekly in-season, and after any injuries, call-ups, or coaching quotes hinting at PP tweaks.
- Does PP1 matter in bangers leagues?
- Yes—less for hits/blocks, more for PPP and overall points. Use PP1 to break ties among similar "banger" profiles.
- Is PP2 ever good enough?
- Sometimes on elite teams with two true units. Treat PP2 skaters as streams unless they also carry strong EV usage.
Bottom Line
Stable PP1 + premium role + healthy team PP = actionable edge. Use share/role/team filters to rank streams, set lineups, and price trades—then verify deployment before puck drop.
Next Steps
- Check Lineups & PP Units
- Confirm Starting Goalies
- Run your Trade Analyzer
- Track News & Injuries